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BMJ Mental Health

BMJ

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match BMJ Mental Health's content profile, based on 15 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Semaglutide Initiation and Treatment Duration On Suicidality Risk in US Veterans With Type 2 Diabetes

Maldonado, A.; Heberer, K.; Lynch, J.; Cogill, S. B.; Nallamshetty, S.; Chen, Y.; Shih, M.-C.; Bress, A. P.; Lee, J.

2026-04-20 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351118 medRxiv
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ImportanceSemaglutide, a glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA), is a highly effective medication to treat type 2 diabetes and obesity. However, concerns about potential suicidality persist, creating clinical uncertainty about its neuropsychiatric safety. ObjectiveTo assess risks of suicidality after initiating semaglutide compared to initiating SGLT2i and by duration of continuous semaglutide treatment. DesignActive-comparator, new-user target trial emulation to estimate inverse probability-weighted marginal cause-specific hazard ratios (HRs). For duration-of-treatment analyses, we used clone-censor-weight methods to estimate exposure-adjusted effects. SettingVeterans Health Administration. ParticipantsU.S. Veterans with type 2 diabetes receiving care from March 1, 2018 to September 1, 2025. ExposureInitiation of semaglutide vs SGLT2i; duration of semaglutide use ([&le;]6, 7-12, >12 months). OutcomesIncident suicidal ideation; suicide attempt or death; and a composite outcome. ResultsA total of 102,361 Veterans met inclusion criteria, including 11,478 new initiators of semaglutide and 90,883 new initiators of an SGLT2i. After overlap weighting, baseline characteristics were well balanced between treatment groups (mean [SD] age, 60.1 [11.7] years; BMI, 37.8 [6.8] kg/m2; hemoglobin A1c, 7.0% [1.4]; 85.5% male; 61.9% non-Hispanic White). During a median follow-up of 2.2 years, 9077 incident suicidal ideation events and 696 suicide attempts or deaths occurred. The incidence rate of suicidal ideation was 56.3 and 37.7 per 1000 person-years among semaglutide initiators and SGLT2i initiators, respectively (hazard ratio [HR], 0.99; 95% CI, 0.93-1.06; P = 0.86). For suicide attempts or deaths, the incidence rates were 4.30 and 2.64 per 1000 person-years, respectively (HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.84-1.31; P = .86). In adherence-adjusted analyses, sustained semaglutide treatment for more than 12 months, compared with 6 or fewer months, was associated with a 74% lower risk of suicide attempts or deaths (HR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.14-0.54; P<.001). ConclusionAmong U.S. Veterans with type 2 diabetes, initiators of semaglutide were not observed to have an increased risk of suicidality compared with initiators of SGLT2i. Those with longer semaglutide treatment (beyond 12 months) had decreased risk of suicide attempt or death, suggesting longer term treatment is safe and may protect against for those outcomes.

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Linguistic Validation of the Rett Syndrome Behavior Questionnaire Spanish Translation: a Two-Stage Caregiver Study Across Latin America

Polo Sanchez, M.; Lesmes, A. C.; Muni, N.; Vigneault, F.; Novak, R.

2026-04-23 neurology 10.64898/2026.04.16.26349544 medRxiv
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Background: Rett Syndrome (RTT) is a severe neurodevelopmental disorder affecting approximately 1 in 10,000 live female births worldwide. The Rett Syndrome Behaviour Questionnaire (RSBQ), remains one of the most widely used standardized behavioral assessment tools for RTT. However, the RSBQ was originally validated only in British English, limiting its applicability for Spanish-speaking caregivers and clinical centers across Latin America and Spain. Objective: The primary aim of this study was to develop and validate the comprehension of the Spanish translation of the RSBQ to ensure cultural and linguistic equivalence, enhance data reliability, and facilitate earlier, more accurate clinical assessments among Spanish-speaking RTT populations. Methods: Surveys were administered in two phases to Spanish-speaking caregivers between November 2023 and September 2025. Phase I consisted of 12 guided survey administrations with participants being able to ask clarifying questions and offer linguistic modifications of RSBQ questions. Phase II consisted of independent online administration of the refined Spanish RSBQ and a retest at least 7 days later. Participants were recruited through direct outreach and supported virtually during questionnaire completion. Results: Following data cleaning and quality control, a total of 51 caregivers successfully completed both surveys. The Spanish RSBQ demonstrated high caregiver comprehension and strong engagement across multiple Latin American countries, including Argentina, Mexico, and Peru. Responses were highly correlated between test and retest timepoints, and no question showed biased response distributions. A slight effect of response interval on test-retest correlation was observed, potentially indicating the impact of natural disease progression confounding retest evaluation for long (>80 day) intervals; however this effect did not impact the overall linguistic validation results as analysis of only <21 day test-retest responders confirmed the findings. Conclusions: This linguistic validation study represents the first formal step toward the clinical validation of the Spanish RSBQ, enabling broader inclusion of Spanish-speaking populations in RTT research. The collaborative, bilingual data collection strategy proved both feasible and effective, paving the way for multinational trials and expanding therapeutic accessibility through localized, patient-centered innovation.

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Assessing Parent-cocreated Sensory Reactivity Outcomes in Children with Neurodevelopmental Disorders Undergoing Bumetanide Treatment: A Multiple-Baseline Single-Case Experimental Design

Geertjens, L. L. M. G.; Cristian, G.; Ramautar, J. J. R.; Haverman, L.; Schalet, B. B. D.; Linkenkaer-Hansen, K.; van der Wilt, G.-J.; Sprengers, J. J. J.; Bruining, H.

2026-04-23 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351464 medRxiv
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Progress in pharmacological treatment development for neurodevelopmental disorders is hindered by a misalignment between targeted mechanisms, outcome measures, and trial designs. This study was initiated as a post-trial access pathway for bumetanide and later expanded with treatment-naive participants. Within this framework, we implemented a parent-cocreated sensory outcome measure set (PROMset) in an unmasked, multiple-baseline single-case experimental design with randomized baseline periods of 2-12 weeks, followed by 6 months of bumetanide treatment (up to 1.5 mg twice daily). Participants (7-19 years) had atypical sensory reactivity and a diagnosis of ASD, ADHD, epilepsy, or TSC. The primary outcome was a PROMset comprising seven PROMIS item banks assessing anxiety, depressive symptoms, sleep disturbance, fatigue, sleep-related impairment, cognitive function, and peer relationships. Secondary outcomes included SSP, SRS-2, RBS-R, and ABC. Of 113 enrolled participants (mean age 13.2 [SD 2.7], 64% male), 102 completed the trial and 95 had analyzable PROMsets. At baseline, PROMset scores showed substantial impairment across domains (mean deviation =9.0 T-score points, p<.001) and correlated with sensory reactivity (SSP; r=-0.40, p<.001). Individual-level analyses showed improvement in 24-41% of participants per PROM domain, most frequently in anxiety and depressive symptoms (41% and 38%; mean across-case Cohen's d=-1). Overall, 83% improved on at least one domain. Group-level analyses showed improvement across all secondary outcomes (p<.001), with superiority over historic placebo for RBS-R and SSP. Integrating PROMsets with individualized trial designs can reveal clinically meaningful changes, supporting a more sensitive and patient-centered framework for treatment evaluation in heterogeneous populations.

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Effects of Mindfulness-Based Interventions on Executive Function in Children and Adolescents: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Li, N.

2026-04-20 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.18.26351184 medRxiv
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BackgroundMindfulness-based interventions (MBIs) have been increasingly adopted in educational settings to support cognitive development in youth. Executive function (EF)--encompassing inhibitory control, working memory, and cognitive flexibility--is a plausible target of MBI given its reliance on attention regulation. However, prior reviews have yielded mixed conclusions, partly due to inconsistent construct definitions and the pooling of heterogeneous outcome measures. ObjectivesTo (1) estimate the pooled effect of MBI on EF in youth aged 3-18 years using only construct-validated, direct EF measures, (2) examine potential moderators including age group, EF domain, and risk of bias, and (3) test dose-response relationships via meta-regression on intervention duration. MethodsWe searched PubMed, PsycINFO, CINAHL, Scopus, and Web of Science from inception to March 2026, supplemented by reference-list searches from two existing systematic reviews and a scoping review. Only English-language publications were eligible. Eligible studies were randomised controlled trials (RCTs) or quasi-RCTs of MBI (excluding yoga-only interventions) in typically developing youth, with at least one direct behavioural or computerised EF outcome. Risk of bias was assessed using Cochrane RoB 2. Hedges g was computed for each study, and pooled using a DerSimonian-Laird random-effects model. Subgroup analyses by age group, EF domain, and risk of bias were conducted, alongside leave-one-out sensitivity analyses, Eggers regression test, trim-and-fill, and Knapp-Hartung-adjusted meta-regression on intervention duration. Evidence certainty was rated using GRADE. ResultsThirteen RCTs (nine school-age, four preschool; total N = 1,560) met inclusion criteria. The pooled effect was g = 0.365 (95% CI 0.264 to 0.465; p < .00001), with negligible heterogeneity (I2 = 0.0%; Q = 6.76, p = .87). Effects were consistent across age groups (school-age g = 0.389; preschool g = 0.318) and EF domains (inhibitory control, working memory, cognitive flexibility; pbetween = .60). Meta-regression on intervention duration (4-20 weeks) was non-significant (p = .79). The effect was robust in leave-one-out analyses, in the low risk-of-bias subgroup (g = 0.361; k = 8), and after trim-and-fill adjustment (g = 0.354). The 95% prediction interval (0.252 to 0.477) was entirely positive. GRADE certainty was rated MODERATE, downgraded once for risk of bias. ConclusionsMBIs appear to produce a small, statistically significant improvement in EF in youth aged 3-18 years, with moderate certainty of evidence per the GRADE framework. The effect is consistent across preschool and school-age samples and across EF domains, with no significant dose-response relationship within the 4-20 week range studied. Emerging mediation evidence suggests that EF improvement may serve as an important pathway through which MBI supports emotion regulation, though this requires replication. Further large-scale, pre-registered RCTs with active control conditions and longitudinal follow-up are warranted.

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Violence exposure and mental health problems among school-aged children in a South African birth cohort

Bailey, M.; Hammerton, G.; Fairchild, G.; Tsunga, L.; Hoffman, N.; Burd, T.; Shadwell, R.; Danese, A.; Armour, C.; Zar, H. J.; Stein, D. J.; Donald, K. A.; Halligan, S. L.

2026-04-22 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351289 medRxiv
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ObjectiveThere is little longitudinal research investigating links between violence exposure and mental disorders among children in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), despite high rates of violence. We examined cross-sectional and longitudinal violence-mental health associations among children in a large South African birth cohort, the Drakenstein Child Health Study, including direct clinical interviews capturing childrens mental disorders. MethodIn this birth cohort (N=974), we assessed lifetime violence exposure and four subtypes (witnessed community, community victimization, witnessed domestic, domestic victimization) at ages 4.5 and 8-years via caregiver reports. At 8-years, caregivers completed the Child Behaviour Checklist; and psychiatric disorders were assessed using the Mini-International Neuropsychiatric Interview for Children and Adolescents, a self-report measure. We tested for associations using linear/logistic regressions, adjusted for confounders. ResultsMost children (91%) had experienced violence by 8-years. Cross-sectionally, total violence exposure was associated with total (B =0.49 [95% CI 0.32, 0.66]), internalizing (0.32 [0.17, 0.47]), and externalizing problems (0.46 [0.31, 0.61]), and with increased odds of disorder at 8 years (aOR=1.09 [1.05, 1.13]). Longitudinally, total violence exposure up to 4.5-years was associated with total (B=0.27 [0.03, 0.52]), internalizing (0.24 [0.04. 0.44]), and externalizing scores (0.23 [0.008, 0.45]) at 8-years, but not with increased risk of psychiatric disorders. The strongest and most consistent associations were observed for domestic versus community violence subtypes. ConclusionOur strong cross-sectional but weaker longitudinal findings suggest that recent violence exposures may be more critical than early exposures for childrens mental health. Longitudinal exploration of other violence-affected LMIC populations is urgently needed.

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Family Constellations for All Clinical Conditions: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis Showing a Lack of Supporting Evidence

Souza, F. L.; Cabral Souza, N.; Mendes, J. A. d. A.

2026-04-21 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.19.26351231 medRxiv
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IntroductionFamily Constellation Therapy (FCT) has been widely disseminated in clinical, public health, and judicial settings despite persistent concerns regarding its theoretical basis, safety, and the limited availability of rigorous randomised evidence supporting its clinical use. ObjectiveThe aim of this systematic review is to assess the effects of FCT across all clinical conditions, explicitly considering both benefits and harms; and summarise the characteristics of studies and intervention settings used in randomised controlled trials of FCT. MethodsFollowing a prospectively registered protocol (CRD420251136190), we conducted a systematic search of seven databases (PubMed, EMBASE, APA PsycInfo, CENTRAL, BVS, Web of Science, and CINAHL) and grey literature (ICTRP and ProQuest database) without language or date restrictions to identify published and unpublished randomised controlled trials of FCT. Study selection, data extraction, risk of bias (RoB 2), and certainty of evidence (GRADE) were performed in duplicate. Statistical analyses followed a prospectively registered analysis plan with prespecified criteria for data pooling and for handling analytical limitations. ResultsNo reliable evidence was found to support the use of FCT for any condition across both clinical and non-clinical samples. All trials included were judged to be at high risk of bias and all comparisons were rated as very low-certainty evidence. Concerns regarding potential adverse effects were identified, and the available data was insufficient to establish the effectiveness of the intervention, precluding any clinical recommendation. ConclusionClinicians, policymakers, and consumers should reconsider adopting FCT while reliable evidence is not available.

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Predicting clozapine initiation among patients with schizophrenia via machine learning trained on electronic health record data

Perfalk, E.; Damgaard, J. G.; Danielsen, A. A.; Ostergaard, S. D.

2026-04-20 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351083 medRxiv
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Background and HypothesisClozapine is the only medication with proven efficacy for treatment-resistant schizophrenia, yet many patients experience delays of several years before initiation. Our aim was to develop and validate a dynamic prediction model for clozapine initiation among patients with schizophrenia trained solely on electronic health record (EHR) data from routine clinical practice. Study DesignEHR data from all adults ([&ge;] 18 years) with a schizophrenia (ICD10: F20) or schizoaffective disorder (ICD10: F25) diagnosis who had been in contact with the Psychiatric Services of the Central Denmark Region between 1 January 2013 and 1 June 2024 were retrieved. 179 structured predictors were engineered (covering, e.g.,diagnoses, medications, coercive measures) and 750 predictors derived from clinical notes. At every psychiatric hospital visit, we predicted if an incident clozapine prescription occured within the next 365 days. XGBoost and logistic regression models were trained on 85% of the data with 5-fold stratified cross-validation. Performance was evaluated on the remaining 15% of the data (held out) using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Study ResultsThe training/test set comprised of 194,234/35,527 hospital visits, distributed on 4928/878 unique patients. In the test set, the best XGBoost model achieved an AUROC of 0.81, sensitivity of 32%, positive predictive value of 23% at a 7.5% predicted positive rate. ConclusionsA dynamic prediction model based solely on EHR data predicts clozapine initiation with high discrimination. If implemented as a clinical decision support tool, this model may guide clinicians towards more timely initiation of clozapine treatment.

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A fully remote randomized controlled trial of an ultra-brief digital meditation intervention reduces internalizing symptoms

Glick, C. C.; Pirzada, S. T.; Quah, S. K.; Feldman, S.; Enabulele, I.; Madsen, S.; Billimoria, N.; Feldman, S.; Bhatia, R.; Spiegel, D.; Saggar, M.

2026-04-21 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.19.26351219 medRxiv
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BackgroundScalable, low-burden behavioral interventions are needed to address rising subclinical mental health symptoms. However, few randomized controlled trials have evaluated ultra-brief, remotely delivered, meditation using multimodal outcome assessment under real-world conditions. MethodsWe conducted a fully remote randomized controlled trial (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT06014281) evaluating a focused-attention meditation intervention delivered via brief instructor training and independent daily practice. A total of 299 meditation-naive adults were randomized to immediate intervention or waitlist control in a delayed-intervention design. Participants practiced [&ge;]10 minutes daily for 8 weeks within a 16-week study. Outcomes included validated self-report measures, web-based cognitive tasks, and wearable-derived physiological metrics. ResultsAcross randomized and within-participant replication phases, the intervention was associated with significant reductions in anxiety and mind wandering, with effects remaining stable during 8-week follow-up. Improvements were greatest among participants with higher baseline symptom burden. Sleep disturbance improved selectively among individuals with poorer baseline sleep. Secondary outcomes, including rumination, perceived stress, social connectedness, and quality of life, also improved. Cognitive performance showed modest improvements primarily among lower-performing participants. Resting heart rate exhibited nominal reductions. ConclusionsAn ultra-brief, fully remote meditation intervention requiring 10 minutes per day was associated with sustained improvements in psychological functioning and smaller, baseline-dependent effects on cognition in a non-clinical population. These findings support digital delivery of low-dose meditation as a scalable preventive mental health strategy.

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Menopausal hormone therapy at age 45 to 60 years old, future dementia or cognitive decline: Systematic review and meta-analysis

Law, S. Y. R.; Mukadam, N.; Pourhadi, N.; Chaudry, A.; Shiakalli, A.; Rai, U.; Livingston, G.

2026-04-22 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351058 medRxiv
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ObjectiveTo examine whether menopausal women who initiate systemic menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) around menopause (45-60 years old) have a different risk of developing dementia than those not taking MHT. DesignSystematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials and longitudinal observational studies. Risk of bias was assessed using ROB-2 and ROBINS I-V2. Data sourcesMEDLINE, Web of Science, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library to 27 March 2026. Eligibility criteria for selecting studiesStudies which measured dementia or cognitive decline in women who initiated systemic MHT between ages 45-60 or within 5 years of menopause, compared with placebo or no MHT. Authors contacted for additional details if needed. Main outcome measuresDementia, Alzheimers disease (AD), cognitive decline. Results10 studies totalling 213,678 participants (189,525 in studies with the primary population). There was no significant increased risk in women with a uterus for all cause dementia (pooled hazard ratio (HR): 1.12; 95% CI 0.91-1.31, N=78,613, I2 = 96.9%), but increased AD risk (HR: 1.14; 95% CI 1.02, 1.29, N=134,865, I2 = 35.6%). Results were similar in sensitivity analyses including women with or without a uterus. Results for cognitive decline were variable. ConclusionsMHT initiated around the age of menopause should not be prescribed for cognition or dementia prevention. It is not protective against dementia and may increase risk slightly. The magnitude of risk was similar in AD and dementia, but the latter with larger confidence intervals. Studies which followed up individuals rather than on health records lost people to follow up. This may account for difference in cognitive decline outcomes between studies, as people with cognitive impairment and dementia are more likely not to attend. MHT prescribing should balance benefits against risks, including evidence of a small increased dementia risk. There are few high-quality studies, so further research would inform recommendations. Systematic review registration Prospero CRD420251010663 What is already known on this topic?O_LIMenopausal hormone therapy (MHT) is effective for alleviating vasomotor symptoms. Contemporary guidelines recommend treatment should be initiated for such symptoms under age 60 and or within 10 years of menopause onset. C_LIO_LIA large randomised trial on the topic found increased risk of dementia in women initiating MHT after the age of 65. C_LIO_LIIt is unknown whether initiating MHT around the age of menopause impacts the risk of dementia or cognitive decline. C_LI What this study addsO_LIThere was no evidence that taking MHT around the time of menopause decreases the risk of dementia or cognitive impairment. C_LIO_LIThey should not be prescribed for these indications. C_LIO_LIWe were able to find more studies which examine this question by contacting authors for additional data. C_LIO_LIInitiating MHT in women with a uterus around the age of menopause increased the risk of Alzheimers disease slightly, by over 10%, and there is a similar but not significant effect in the fewer studies of all cause dementia. Women with or without a uterus show similar results. C_LIO_LIWe found no significant difference shown in cognitive decline, possibly due to loss to follow up. This may be because most studies of cognitive decline follow up C_LI

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Digital Therapeutic for Hwa-byung Based on Acceptance and Commitment Therapy: A Pilot Feasibility Trial

Kwon, C.-Y.; Lee, B.; Kim, M.; Mun, J.-h.; Seo, M.-G.; Yoon, D.

2026-04-22 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.19.26351203 medRxiv
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BackgroundHwa-byung (HB) is a Korean culture-bound syndrome characterised by prolonged suppression of anger and somatic complaints. No evidence-based digital therapeutic (DTx) has been developed for HB. We evaluated the feasibility, user experience (UX), and preliminary clinical effect of an acceptance and commitment therapy (ACT)-based DTx application, Hwa-free, for HB. MethodsAdults aged 19-80 years diagnosed with HB were enrolled in a four-week app-based intervention with assessment at baseline (Week 0), Week 2, Week 4, and Week 8 follow-up. The primary outcome was UX assessed via a 22-item survey at Week 4. Secondary outcomes included HB-related symptom and personality scales, depression, anxiety, anger expression, psychological flexibility, health-related quality of life, and heart rate variability. ResultsOf 45 screened, 30 were enrolled and 28 constituted the modified intention-to-treat population. Mean app use was 19.9 {+/-} 7.9 days (71.2% adherence over 28 days). Adverse events were infrequent and unrelated to the intervention. Positive response rates exceeded 80% for video content (items 2-4: 82.8-89.7%), HB self-assessment (86.2%), meditation therapy (86.2%), and in-app guidance (85.7%). Pre-post improvements from baseline to Week 4 were observed in 11 of 18 clinical scales, including HB Symptom Scale ({Delta} = -9.8, Cohens d = -0.92), Beck Depression Inventory-II ({Delta} = -13.3, d = -1.11), and state anger ({Delta} = -7.8, d = -0.96). The HB screening-positive rate declined from 100% at baseline to 55.6% at Week 8. ConclusionsHwa-free demonstrated adequate feasibility, acceptable UX, and preliminary evidence of clinically meaningful improvement in HB-related symptoms. Future randomised controlled trial is warranted. Trial registrationCRIS, KCT0011105

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Rethinking covariate adjustment in psychiatric biomarker research: a framework applied to UK Biobank blood samples

Shin, M.; Crouse, J. J.; Hickie, I. B.; Wray, N. R.; Albinana, C.

2026-04-21 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.19.26351233 medRxiv
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ImportanceBlood-based biomarkers hold promise for psychiatric diagnosis and prognosis, yet clinical translation is constrained by poor reproducibility. Psychiatric biomarker studies are typically small, and demographic, behavioral, and temporal covariates often go undetected or cannot be adequately modeled. This may lead to residual confounding and unstable associations. ObservationsLeveraging UK Biobank data (N=~500,000), we systematically quantified how technical, demographic, behavioral, and temporal covariates influence 29 blood biomarkers commonly measured in research studies in psychiatry. Variance analyses showed substantial differences across biomarkers. Technical factors explained 1-6% and demographic factors explained 5-15% of the variance, with pronounced age-by-sex interactions for lipids and sex hormones. Behavioral covariates, particularly body mass index (BMI) and smoking, strongly influenced inflammatory markers. Temporal factors introduced systematic confounding. Chronotype was associated with blood collection time, multiple biomarkers exhibited marked diurnal rhythms (including testosterone, triglycerides, and immune markers), and inflammatory markers showed seasonal peaks in winter. In association analysis of biomarkers with major depression, bipolar disorder and schizophrenia, covariate adjustments attenuated or eliminated a substantial proportion of the biomarker-disorder associations, with BMI emerging as the dominant confounder. These findings demonstrate that such confounding structures exist and can be characterized in large cohorts, though specific biomarker-disorder relationships require validation in clinical samples. Conclusions and RelevancePoor reproducibility of biomarkers may not only stem from insufficient biological signal but also from inconsistent handling of confounders. We propose a systematic framework distinguishing technical factors (to be removed), demographic factors (addressed through adjustment or stratification), temporal factors (ideally controlled at design stages), and behavioral factors (requiring explicit causal reasoning). Associations robust to multiple adjustment strategies should be prioritized for clinical biomarker development. Standardized collection protocols, comprehensive covariate measurement, and transparent reporting across models are essential to improve reproducibility and identify biomarkers that reflect genuine illness-related pathophysiology.

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Interventions to improve retention in HIV care: a systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials

Rehman, N.; Guyatt, G.; JinJin, M.; Silva, L. K.; Gu, J.; Munir, M.; Sadagari, R.; Li, M.; Xie, D.; Rajkumar, S.; Lijiao, Y.; Najmabadi, E.; Dhanam, V.; Mertz, D.; Jones, A.

2026-04-20 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.04.18.26351146 medRxiv
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BackgroundSustained retention in care supports continuous access to antiretroviral therapy, routine clinical monitoring, and long-term viral suppression. ObjectiveTo compare the effectiveness of interventions for improving retention in care among people living with HIV (PLHIV). DesignSystematic review and network meta-analysis Data sourcesPubMed, Embase, CINAHL, PsycINFO, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library from 1995 to December 2024. Eligibility criteriaRandomised controlled trials (RCTs) evaluating interventions to improve retention in care, viral load suppression, or quality of life (QoL) among PLHIV, compared with standard of care (SoC) or other interventions. Data extraction and synthesisPairs of reviewers independently screened studies, extracted data, and assessed risk of bias using ROBUST-RCT. We conducted a fixed-effect frequentist network meta-analysis and rated interventions categories relative to SoC based on effect estimates effects and the certainty of evidence.. Dichotomous outcomes were summarized as odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), and continuous outcomes as mean differences (MDs) with 95% CI. ResultsEighty-four trials enrolling 107 137 PLHIV evaluated 13 intervention categories. For retention in care, five interventions supported by moderate or high certainty evidence proved superior to SoC: multi-month dispensing (OR 2.02, 95% CI 1.32 to 3.09), task shifting (OR 1.94, 95% CI 1.42 to 2.66), differentiated service delivery (OR 1.47, 95% CI 1.22 to 1.76), behavioural counselling (OR 1.36, 95% CI 1.21 to 1.54), and supportive interventions (OR 1.31, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.55). For viral load suppression, two interventions supported by moderate or high certainty evidence proved superior to SoC: task shifting (OR 2.07, 95% CI 1.25 to 3.43) and behavioural counselling (OR 1.34, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.67). Across outcomes, no intervention demonstrated convincing superiority over other active interventions. ConclusionsAmong 13 intervention categories, only a subset provided moderate or high-certainty evidence of superiority to the standard of care, and no superiority to other interventions. Persistent evidence gaps for key populations, diverse settings, and long-term outcomes support the need for context-sensitive and patient-centred interventions. RegistrationPROSPERO CRD42024589177 Strengths and limitations of this study[tpltrtarr] This systematic review followed Cochrane methods and was reported in accordance with PRISMA-NMA guidelines. [tpltrtarr]The network meta-analysis integrated direct and indirect evidence to compare multiple intervention categories within a single framework. [tpltrtarr]Risk of bias and certainty of evidence were assessed using ROBUST-RCT and the GRADE approach for network meta-analysis, respectively. [tpltrtarr]Some networks were sparse, and limited representation of key populations and long-term follow-up constrained the strength and generalisability of inferences.

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Common Substrates of Early Illness Severity: Clinical, Genetic, and Brain Evidence

Ye, R. R.; Vetter, C.; Chopra, S.; Wood, S.; Ratheesh, A.; Cross, S.; Meijer, J.; Tahanabalasingam, A.; Lalousis, P.; Penzel, N.; Antonucci, L. A.; Haas, S. S.; Buciuman, M.-O.; Sanfelici, R.; Neuner, L.-M.; Urquijo-Castro, M. F.; Popovic, D.; Lichtenstein, T.; Rosen, M.; Chisholm, K.; Korda, A.; Romer, G.; Maj, C.; Theodoridou, A.; Ricecher-Rossler, A.; Pantelis, C.; Hietala, J.; Lencer, R.; Bertolino, A.; Borgwardt, S.; Noethen, M.; Brambilla, P.; Ruhrmann, S.; Meisenzahl, E.; Salonkangas, R. K. R.; Kambeitz, J.; Kambeitz-Ilankovic, L.; Falkai, P.; Upthegrove, R.; Schultze-Lutter, F.; Koutso

2026-04-22 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.21.26350991 medRxiv
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BackgroundThe severity of positive psychotic symptoms largely defines emerging psychosis syndromes. However, depressive and negative symptoms are strongly psychologically and biologically interlinked. A transdiagnostic exploration of symptom severity across early illness syndromes could enhance the understanding of shared common factors and future trajectories of mental illness. We aimed to identify subgroups based on the severity of positive, negative, and depressive symptoms and assess relationships with: 1) premorbid functioning, 2) longitudinal illness course, 3) genetic risk, and 4) brain volume differences. MethodsWe analysed 749 participants from a multisite, naturalistic, longitudinal (18 months) cohort study of: clinical high risk for psychosis (n=147), recent onset psychosis (n=161), and healthy controls (n=286), and recent onset depression (n=155). Participants were stratified into subgroups based on severity of baseline positive, negative, and depression symptoms. Baseline and longitudinal differences between groups for clinical, functioning, and polygenic risk scores (schizophrenia, depression, cross-disorder) were assessed with ANOVAs and linear mixed models. Voxel-based morphometry was used to examine whole-brain grey matter volume differences. Discovery findings were replicated in a held-out sample (n=610). ResultsParticipants were stratified into no (n=241), mild (n=50), moderate (n=182), and severe symptom (n=254) subgroups. The mean (SD) age was 25.3 (6.0) and 344 (47.3%) were male. Symptom severity was associated with poorer premorbid functioning and illness trajectory, greater genetic risk, and lower brain volume. Findings were not confounded by the original study groups or symptoms and were largely replicated. Conclusions and relevanceTransdiagnostic symptom severity is linked to shared aetiologies, prognoses, and biological markers across diagnoses and illness stages. Such commonalities could guide therapeutic selection and future research aiming to detect unique contributions to specific psychopathologies.

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International Adaptation of a brief Problem-Solving Skills (the IAPPS trial) training for people in custody with severe mental illness in Poland: an open multicentred, parallel group, feasibility randomised controlled trial.

Perry, A. E.; Zawadzka, M.; Rychlik, J.; Hewitt, C.

2026-04-25 forensic medicine 10.64898/2026.04.24.26351654 medRxiv
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Objectives: The primary aim of this study was to assess the feasibility of delivering an adapted problem-solving skills (PSS) intervention by quantifying the recruitment, follow-up and completion rates using a brief problem-solving intervention for people with a mental health diagnosis in two Polish prisons. Design: IAPPS is an open, multi-centred, parallel group feasibility randomised controlled trial (RCT). Setting: Two prisons in Poland. Participants: Men in custody aged 18 years and older, having a mental illness and living within the prison therapeutic unit. Interventions: The intervention consisted of an adapted PSS skills intervention plus care as usual (CAU) or care as usual only. Delivered in groups of up to five people in 1.5-hour sessions over the course of two weeks. Main outcome measures: Primary outcomes - rate of recruitment, follow-up, and feasibility to deliver the intervention. Secondary outcomes included measures of depression, general mental health, and coping strategies. Results: 129 male prisoners were screened, 64 were randomly allocated, with a mean age of 53.5 years (SD 14, range 23-84). 59 (95%) prisoners were of Polish origin. Our recruitment rate was 48%. There was differential follow up with those in the intervention group less likely to complete the post-test battery versus those who received care as usual. Outcome measures were successfully collected at both time points. Conclusions We were able to recruit, retain and deliver the intervention within the prison setting; some logistical challenges limited our assessment of intervention engagement. Our data helps to demonstrate how use of the RCT study design can be implemented and delivered within the complex prison environment. Trial registration number ISRCTN 70138247, protocol registration date May 2021

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The MIND Study: Design, Feasibility, and Baseline Characteristics of a Smartphone-Based Migraine Cohort

Khorsand, B.; Teichrow, D.; Lipton, R. B.; Ezzati, A.

2026-04-21 neurology 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350866 medRxiv
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ObjectiveTo describe the design, feasibility, and baseline characteristics of the Migraine Impact on Neurocognitive Dynamics (MIND) study, a 30-day smartphone-based cohort for high-frequency assessment of cognition and symptoms in adults with migraine. BackgroundCognitive symptoms are an important component of migraine burden, but they are difficult to measure using single-visit testing or retrospective questionnaires. Repeated smartphone-based assessment may better capture real-world variability in cognition and symptoms. MethodsAdults meeting International Classification of Headache Disorders, 3rd edition, criteria for migraine were enrolled remotely and completed 30 days of once-daily ecological momentary assessments and mobile cognitive tasks delivered through the Mobile Monitoring of Cognitive Change platform. Baseline measures assessed demographics, migraine characteristics, disability, mood, stress, and treatment patterns. Feasibility was evaluated using enrollment, completion, and retention metrics. ResultsA total of 177 participants enrolled (mean age 38.8 {+/-} 11.9 years; 79.7% female), including 80/177 (45.2%) with chronic migraine. Across the 30-day protocol, 3688 daily assessments were completed, representing 70.8% of all possible study days, and 70.6% of participants completed at least 20 days of monitoring. Completion remained above 60% across study days. At baseline, chronic migraine was associated with greater burden than low-frequency and high-frequency episodic migraine, including higher MIDAS scores (98.6 vs. 38.7 and 70.3), more days with concentration difficulty (16.0 vs. 7.9 and 11.5), and more days with functional interference (18.5 vs. 7.6 and 13.0). ConclusionsThe MIND study demonstrates the feasibility of high-frequency smartphone-based assessment of cognition and symptoms in migraine and provides a methodological foundation for future analyses of within-person cognitive and symptom dynamics across the migraine cycle.

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Post-Discharge Anti-Seizure Medication Use Improves Post-Stroke Survival: An Emulated Target Trial in Older Adults

Sankaranarayanan, M.; Donahue, M. A.; Brooks, J. D.; Sun, S.; Newhouse, J. P.; Blacker, D.; Haneuse, S.; Hernandez-Diaz, S.; Moura, L. M. V. R.

2026-04-20 neurology 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351149 medRxiv
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ObjectiveLevetiracetam is commonly prescribed for seizure prophylaxis after acute ischemic stroke (AIS) and often continued beyond discharge. While its short-term effectiveness for preventing post-stroke seizures is established, it is unclear whether prolonged use improves survival, particularly in older adults. We estimated the effect of continued levetiracetam use on 90-day mortality among Medicare beneficiaries after AIS. MethodsUsing Traditional Medicare claims data (2008-2021), we identified beneficiaries aged [&ge;]66 years hospitalized for AIS who initiated outpatient levetiracetam within 90 days of discharge. After one month of continued post-stroke use of levetiracetam (start of follow-up), we compared 90-day mortality between patients with a new levetiracetam dispensation within a 14-day grace period post-follow up and those without one. We performed cloning, censoring and weighting to address immortal time bias and estimated standardized mortality risks, risk differences, and 95% confidence intervals (CI). ResultsAmong 3,212 eligible beneficiaries, 1,779 (55.4%) received a new levetiracetam dispensation within the 14-day grace period. Median age was 76 years (IQR 70-83); 57.8% were female. After adjustment for demographics, hospitalization characteristics, timing of initiation, and comorbidities, continued use was associated with lower 90-day mortality than discontinuation (53 vs 62 deaths per 1,000; risk difference -9 per 1,000; 95% CI: (-12,-5)). The reduction was observed primarily among patients aged [&ge;]75 years. SignificanceAmong older Medicare beneficiaries who initiated levetiracetam after AIS, continued outpatient use was associated with modestly lower 90-day mortality, particularly in those aged [&ge;]75 years. These findings suggest potential benefits of levetiracetam continuation beyond the immediate post-stroke period.

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Individualized Forecasting of Headache Attack Risk Using a Continuously Updating Model

Houle, T. T.; Lebowitz, A.; Chtay, I.; Patel, T.; McGeary, D. D.; Turner, D. P.

2026-04-22 neurology 10.64898/2026.04.20.26350119 medRxiv
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ImportanceMigraine attacks often occur unpredictably, limiting the ability of individuals to initiate timely preventive or preemptive treatment. Short-term probabilistic forecasting of migraine risk could enable more targeted management strategies. ObjectiveTo externally validate the previously developed Headache Prediction Model (HAPRED-I), evaluate an updated continuously learning model (HAPRED-II), and assess the feasibility and short-term safety of delivering individualized probabilistic migraine forecasts directly to patients. Design, Setting, and ParticipantsProspective 8-week cohort study conducted remotely at two academic medical centers in the United States (Massachusetts General Hospital and Wake Forest Health Sciences) between 2015 and 2019. Adults with recurrent migraine or tension-type headache completed twice-daily electronic diaries. A total of 230 participants contributed 23,335 diary entries across 11,862 participant-days of observation. Main Outcomes and MeasuresOccurrence of a headache attack within 24 hours following each evening diary entry. Model performance was evaluated using discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC]) and calibration. ResultsExternal validation of HAPRED-I demonstrated modest discrimination (AUC, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.57-0.61) and poor calibration, with predicted probabilities consistently exceeding observed headache risk. In contrast, the continuously updating HAPRED-II model demonstrated progressive improvement in predictive performance as participant-specific data accumulated. Discrimination increased from an AUC of 0.59 (95% CI, 0.57-0.61) during the first 14 days to 0.66 (95% CI, 0.63-0.70) after the first month, accompanied by improved calibration across predicted risk levels. Over the study period, 6999 individualized forecasts were delivered directly to participants. No evidence suggested that receipt of forecasts was associated with increasing headache frequency or worsening predicted headache risk trajectories. Conclusions and RelevanceA static migraine forecasting model demonstrated limited transportability to new individuals. In contrast, models that continuously update within individuals may improve predictive accuracy over time and enable real-time delivery of personalized migraine risk forecasts. Further work incorporating richer physiologic and contextual predictors will likely be necessary before such systems can reliably guide clinical treatment decisions.

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Estimating direct and indirect genetic effects on variation in depressive symptoms in early adolescence: a trio PGS analysis in the MoBa cohort

Bazezew, M. M.; Glaser, B.; Hegemann, L. E.; Askelund, A. D.; Pingault, J.-B.; Wootton, R. E.; Davies, N. M.; Ask, H.; Havdahl, A.; Hannigan, L.

2026-04-25 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.17.26350751 medRxiv
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Background: Early adolescence is a common period of onset for depressive symptoms. In part, this may reflect a developmental manifestation of individual's genetic propensities as they undergo physiological and hormonal changes and interact with new environments. Many commonly proposed mechanisms assume direct effects of an individual's own genes on emerging variation in their depressive symptomatology. However, estimates of genetic influence based on analyses in unrelated individuals capture not only direct genetic effects but also genetic effects from parents and other biologically related family members. Aim: In data from the Norwegian Mother, Father and Child Cohort (MoBa), we used linear mixed models to distinguish developmentally-stable and adolescence-specific direct and parental indirect genetic effects. We examined effects of polygenic scores for major depressive disorder (MDD), ADHD, anxiety disorders, and educational attainment (EA) on depressive symptoms, which were assessed by maternal reports at ages 8 and 14. Results: Children's own MDD polygenic scores showed adolescence-specific effects on depressive symptoms ( b_PGS*wave=0.041, [95% CI: 0.017, 0.065]). Developmentally-stable direct effects from children's polygenic scores for MDD (b=0.016, [0.006, 0.039]), ADHD (b=0.024, [0.008, 0.041]) and EA (b=-0.02, [ -0.038, -0.002]) were also evident. The only evidence of indirect genetic effects was a stable effect of maternal EA polygenic scores (b=0.04, [0.024, 0.054]). Conclusion: Direct genetic effects linked to genetic liability to MDD accounted for emerging variation in depressive symptoms in adolescence. These results imply that specific etiological mechanisms related to MDD may become particularly relevant for depressive symptoms during early adolescence compared to at earlier ages.

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Narcolepsy is associated with cardiovascular burden

Ollila, H. M.; Eghtedarian, R.; Haapaniemi, H.; Ramste, M.; FinnGen,

2026-04-23 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351468 medRxiv
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Background: Narcolepsy is a debilitating sleep disorder caused by hypocretin deficiency. Aside from its role to induce wakefulness, hypocretin is linked to modulated appetite and metabolism, often resulting in weight gain. Study objectives: We aimed to unravel the comprehensive epidemiological connection between narcolepsy and major cardiometabolic outcomes. Methods: We analyzed cardiovascular and metabolic disease distribution in the FinnGen study. Using longitudinal electronic health records, we assessed associations between narcolepsy, cardiac/metabolic markers, and prescriptions for relevant drugs. Results: Our findings demonstrate significant associations between narcolepsy and metabolic traits (OR [95% CI] = 2.65 [1.81, 3.89]) as well as stroke (OR = 2.36 [1.38, 4.04]). Narcolepsy patients exhibit a less favourable metabolic profile, including higher glucose levels (OR = 1.1143 [1.0599, 1.1715]) and dyslipidaemia. This is supported by increased prescriptions of insulin (OR = 2.269 [1.46, 3.53]), simvastatin (OR = 2.292 [1.59, 3.31]), and metformin (OR = 2.327 [1.66, 3.25]), reflecting high metabolic disturbances. Furthermore, positive associations with antihypertensive and antiplatelet medications were observed, consistent with elevated cardiovascular risk. Conclusion: Taken together, our findings highlight the cardiometabolic burden in narcolepsy. This study enhances understanding of the metabolic and cardiovascular consequences of narcolepsy and offers timely guidance for effective disease control.

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Global burden of stigma and discrimination against transgender and gender-diverse adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Barre-Quick, M.; Yeh, P. T.; Kennedy, C. E.; Azuma, H.; McLellan, C.; Cooney, E. E.

2026-04-23 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351490 medRxiv
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Abstract Importance Stigma and discrimination against transgender and gender-diverse people are prevalent across many settings and may contribute to substantial health disparities. Objective To synthesize global evidence on the prevalence of stigma, discrimination, and resilience among transgender (trans) and gender-diverse adults. Data Sources A systematic search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, Cochrane Central, LILACS, and PsycInfo for articles published between January 1, 2010 and January 2, 2023. This database search was supplemented by grey literature and secondary reference searches. Article Selection Studies were eligible if they presented primary quantitative data on prevalence of stigma, discrimination, and/or resilience among trans and gender-diverse adults (aged 18 and over), with no restrictions on study design, language, or geographic region. Data Extraction and Synthesis Two independent reviewers extracted data using standardized forms, with discrepancies resolved by consensus. The JBI Critical Appraisal Checklist for Prevalence Articles was used to assess risk of bias. Random effects meta-analysis was conducted for dichotomous prevalence measures using inverse variance weighting and logit transformation; non-dichotomous prevalence data were summarized descriptively. Main Outcomes and Measures Outcomes included prevalence estimates for various forms of stigma (anticipated, perceived, internalized, and experienced), discrimination in legal/institutional settings (housing, healthcare, employment, police/prison), and resilience. Results A total of 97 articles, with data from 72,158 unique trans and gender-diverse participants across 26 countries, met inclusion criteria. Studies showed moderate levels of anticipated stigma, perceived stigma, and internalized stigma. Meta-analyses of 36 studies provided pooled estimates of discrimination prevalence across multiple domains: 21.4% in housing (e.g., eviction, rental denial), 24.6% in healthcare (e.g., denial of care, mistreatment), 32.8% in employment (e.g., hiring bias, workplace harassment), and 39.1% in police/prison settings (e.g., profiling, mistreatment). High heterogeneity was observed across studies, reflecting regional and methodological differences. Resilience scores ranged from moderate to high, indicating variation within trans and gender-diverse communities. Conclusions and Relevance This systematic review and meta-analysis found that stigma and discrimination against trans and gender-diverse adults are pervasive globally. Variation in stigma and discrimination across settings and regions underscores the need for targeted interventions and policy reforms. Funding World Health Organization through a grant from the Elton John AIDS Foundation and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.